Housing Market to Remain Weakest Sector of U.S. Economy in Second Half of 2025, Goldman Sachs Predicts
Published August 4, 2025 — 9:05 AM EDT
The U.S. housing market shows slow growth. Goldman Sachs sees the market drag the economy in the year’s second half. Jan Hatzius, chief economist, states residential investment will drop by 8% compared with fall 2024. Each word links closely to its neighbor to help you read with ease.
Key Factors Behind Housing Market Weakness
• High mortgage costs squeeze buyers. Buyers pay more, and they sometimes pay upfront to lower their interest rate. This choice shows that home costs hurt purchase power.
• Fewer new families form as immigration slows. Measures by President Donald Trump on illegal crossings lower the pace at which households come together.
• Job data shows weak hiring. The July report on nonfarm payrolls falls short. Revised figures for May and June also count lower job growth.
Multifamily and Single-Family Construction Trends
• Builders of multifamily apartments hold back on new projects. Developer worries keep new apartment complexes low.
• Starts on single-family homes feel the pinch. Fewer new homes begin construction as builder hope declines.
Residential Investment as a Drag on Growth
Goldman Sachs sees building, renovating, and home repairs pull down economic growth. This part of the market moves jobs, spending, and related work. The slow pace sends ripples through other economic parts.
Economic Context and Outlook
Raising a broad concern, Goldman Sachs fits the slow housing market into the wider U.S. picture. Some parts of the economy run strong, but weak home buying power, fewer new families, and low hiring pull down activity. Policy makers and investors watch these shifts closely.
For those who need stable homes—prospective buyers, real estate builders, and construction teams—this news signals tougher days ahead without a clear fix soon.
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Reported by Alex Harring, CNBC
Follow on Twitter: @alex_harring
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